VisionBoard Finance

Analysis & notes

The ledger.

Market notes and macro explainers—what changed, why it matters, and what the evidence can actually tell us.

12 posts on this page

Stock Market Today (April 20, 2026): Wall Street Rallies But the VIX Is Flashing Yellow

US stocks kicked off the week with solid gains, but rising volatility and climbing Treasury yields suggest investors aren't fully convinced. With oil surging and the yield curve steepening, the macro backdrop is getting more interesting.

Stock Market Today (April 19, 2026): Oil Crashes 11% as Stocks Rally, Gold Soars Past $4,800

A wild session saw WTI crude oil plunge over 11% while equities rallied broadly. Gold surged past $4,800 and Treasury yields tumbled as investors repositioned for what comes next.

Stock Market Today (April 7, 2026): Stocks Grind Higher as Oil Surges on Iran Tensions

The S&P 500 extended its rally to 6,611.83 (+0.44%) as oil surged to $115 on escalating Iran tensions, while Treasury yields climbed and the VIX ticked higher.

Stock Market Today (April 6, 2026): Gold Soars Past $4,600 as Dollar Breaks Below 100

The Big Picture Report — March 2026: The Mask Came Off

Stock Market Q1 2026 Recap: The Economy Was Already Broken Before the War

Stock Market Today (March 31, 2026): S&P 500 Climbs as Quarter Ends — But April 2 Looms

Stock Market Today (March 30, 2026): Bonds Rally, Gold Soars, and Tokyo Gets Left Behind

How to Evaluate a Trading Bot: Testing, Regimes, and Risk Controls

A trading bot is a rule set, not a money machine. Evaluate the hypothesis, data, costs, failure modes, and risk controls before treating any backtest as useful evidence.

Sector Rotation Explained: Comparing Market Leadership Across the Cycle

Sector leadership changes through time, but the economic cycle is context rather than an answer key. Here is a transparent framework for comparing sectors without turning history into a forecast.

Stock Market Today (March 30, 2026): What Could Shake Markets This Week

Oil above $94, CPI at 2.4%, and fresh trade probes on China and the EU. Here's what investors should watch the week of March 30 and how the VisionBoard sector model reads the current macro regime.

Stock Market Today (March 27, 2026): Oil Nears $100 as Risk-Off Trade Hammers Stocks — S&P 500 Falls 1.5%

Oil knocking on $100, gold at all-time highs, VIX above 30, and a broad equity selloff. Friday delivered a textbook risk-off session.