Live macro signals

The economy has seasons.
Stop trading headlines.

See the current cycle phase, which sectors historically outperform, and what the data actually says — updated daily with Fed data + AI.

Powered by Federal Reserve indicators + market data + AI interpretation. Not investment advice.

Live data — updated today
Official Season
-
Core cycle phase
Reality Overlay
-
Alternative-data adjustment
Bubble Risk
-%
Correction / fragility
Economic Health
-/100
Composite score
Confidence
-%
Coverage + freshness

The state of markets

The dashboard isn't here to impress you with numbers. It's here to orient you - risk, liquidity, and temperature.

DXY
-
Dollar strength (liquidity pressure)
VIX
-
Risk appetite / volatility
S&P 500
-
Broad equity temperature
Yield Spread (10Y-2Y)
-
A classic recession signal (when inverted)
Fed Funds
-
Policy pressure / easing tailwind
Consumer Sentiment
-
Demand + confidence

Headlines aren't a strategy

News is optimized for clicks. Signals are optimized for decisions.

What headlines do

  • React late.
  • Amplify emotion.
  • Confuse price with regime.
  • Hide the cycle.

What signals do

  • Track regimes.
  • Measure stress.
  • Show probability, not certainty.
  • Turn noise into seasons.

What's new in VisionBoard

The dashboard now separates official signals from the economic reality - and ties it to a sector playbook.

Dual-layer cycle
Official vs Reality-adjusted

If the "real economy" diverges from headline stats, we show it - including a Stagflation Risk overlay.

Economic Reality Check
Alternative data overlay

Median CPI, broad unemployment (U-6), credit stress, wages, housing affordability - one view to sanity-check narratives.

Sector playbook
Cycle → sectors → cash

AI sector recommendations + cash guidance update with the regime. In stagflation risk: Energy / Materials / Industrials.

Company breakdowns (beta)
What's driving each sector

Drill from sector → movers to understand what's actually moving the tape (without drowning in headlines).

Options Finder
Liquidity + setups

Find tradable options chains faster - screen for contracts with usable spreads and clean risk/reward.

Short squeeze score (beta)
SI + DTC + borrow fees

A ranked squeeze table with a simple 0-100 score, plus cost-to-borrow context (best-effort).

Sector performance
Real returns (1D → 1Y)

Barchart-style sector returns with timeframe + source metadata - so you can trust what you're seeing.

Daily movers
Winners / losers + context

Session movers with volatility context (VIX) and a quick read on what actually drove the tape.

Markets Today posts
SEO + human voice

Daily recaps in a clean structure: Markers → What moved → Geopolitics → Bottom line.

Markets have weather. Your job is to stay solvent long enough to see spring.
The point isn't being right. It's surviving the wrong seasons.

The seasons map

A single view to orient your next move. Scroll through the notes - the map stays with you.

- This is the same cycle language as the dashboard.
Expansion
Growth resumes.
Risk-on improves - but pick quality.
Boom
Momentum peaks.
Froth rises - manage exposure, watch volatility.
Recession
Stress shows up.
Defense and liquidity matter more than narratives.
Depression
The bottom forms.
Patience wins - prepare for the next expansion.
Powered by: Federal Reserve (FRED) · S&P Global · OpenAI · Polygon.io

Simple, transparent pricing

Start free. Upgrade when you're ready. (Member includes a 3-day free trial.)

Proof, not prose.

A live dashboard that keeps you anchored to regime - not narrative.

Economic Health
-/100
Business Cycle
-
Yield Spread (10Y-2Y)
-

Visitor

Free preview - get oriented in minutes.

  • Live cycle phase + macro snapshot
  • Core indicators + quick market panel
  • Read public posts
Open dashboard

Know the season. Ignore the noise.

Stop trading headlines. Start trading regimes.